Earthquake Forecasts

Modelling points strongly to the likelihood to these select major seismic events

  • Now expected about Mar 31- Apr 2, 2026

  • *A foreshock of this approximate size is now expected within a 350km radius of San Diego about Apr 2, and a M7.0-M7.2 mainshock possible first week of May, 2026.

  • Now likely about May 1, 2026, (Revised 6-03-26)

  • possibly within 250km of Istanbul, about May 2026.

  • about June 2026.

  • about Sept-Oct, 2026.

  • about Sept-Oct, 2026.

  • likely Oct-Nov, 2026.

  • likely early Dec 2026
    (upgraded on Dec 12 from M8.2 in May to M8.4 in early Dec 2026).

  • possibly December, 2026. More Cascadia info on this page.

    Expected at the southern end of the Cascadia Subduction Zone between mid Oregon and Cape Mendocino, Northern California, or at the northern end of the San Andreas Fault system.

  • likely early Jan, 2027.

  • Likely March, 2027.

  • 2027.

  • 2028.

  • 2030.

NOTE: Our most recent successful prospective forecast was for the M_7.0 Cape Mendocino event on Dec 5, 2024, whose magnitude and date were forecast exactly and advised ahead by email to several people, including a seismologist in CA. It was also noted correctly, that the event would most likely occur within 150_km of the Cape.

PLEASE ALSO NOTE:

NO ATTEMPT IS MADE TO FORECAST ALL IMPORTANT SEISMIC EVENTS. Nor does the author claim to know about all upcoming earthquakes.
Forecasts may change as the latest seismic events are incorporated into the models (see Disclaimer) and note all times are UTC.